Poll shows massive swing against Daniel Andrews

Will Andrews quit before Christmas?
AMM 16.09.20.  


Daniel Andrews will ‘decide to go’ by Christmas says Peta Credlin. 



Sky News host Peta Credlin says Daniel Andrews is not “going to last beyond Christmas” suggesting the premier will decide to resign on his own accord. 

“There’s a lot of jostling going on,” Ms Credlin told Sky News host Alan Jones. 

“I don’t think he’s going to last beyond Christmas I think he’ll decide to go”. 

Ms Credlin said she has spoken to “senior Labor people” in Melbourne, predominantly from federal politics but also state government, and believes he “will not want to lose the election”. 

“I don’t think he wants to be around to wear the economic consequences next year,” she said. “I think his Labor ministers would love him to go so that they can have a fresh face.”

Source: Sky News
https://www.skynews.com.au/details/_6190894758001


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{ 9 comments… }

Pensioner Pete 16/09/2020, 6:01 am
Dog Ears Dan has nothing to worry about, should he resign, there will be a seat waiting for him via Labor in the Federal Parliament, as a token of appreciation for a job well done.

Penguinite 16/09/2020, 7:47 am
Surely, even Labor can’t be that dumb?

Pensioner Pete 16/09/2020, 8:00 am
They are indeed. History shows this to be so.

John 16/09/2020, 8:20 am
Arrogant or dumb, P , I cant decide which. Maybe it`s both arrogant and dumb. It`s funny, well no not funny, tragic maybe that some political lightweight will vanish from view but months later resurface as a leader of some Quango. The latest is the brilliant Andrew Colvin who lead the AFP with such brilliance he has now been appointed with brilliant foresight as of Jan 2020 as the brilliant leader of the “National Bushfire Recovery Agency” as he`s so brilliant.
In the event of a nuclear war no, it wont be a cockroach that crawls out from under a rock but Andrews or Anustacia or……….bloody hell, the list just goes on.

JS 16/09/2020, 7:16 am
Andrew’s should go to purgatory with such a misaligned view of government’s function, that being to screw the populace with bullshit and destructive policies. In fact the entire Labor and Liberal groupies should go. Neither in their current state of mentality has the State moving forward. As a vehicle to develop, to prosper, to raise the general standard of living. Look what Australia doesn’t achieve when we have it all on our doorstep. Australia has turned into a bureaucratic pain in the ass. supporting screwy social agenda, destroying our advantages of economical energy, agriculture with hands tied behind its back, over policing and ripping off the taxpayer at from local high rates to excess powers over what we can do with our own property. An expanding reach of authorities monitoring and control of citizens as though children. This nation needs an upheaval, a cleaning out of the club of corrupt politicians to be replaced by nation builders not dismantlers.

luk1955 16/09/2020, 7:29 am
The nation builders do not want to rule their fellow men and women. Therefore we will be replacing one grubby set of creatures with another grubby set of creatures who will in time become monsters of psychosis. Other than that JS everything you say is spot on.
By Christmas with no relief Victoria will be devastated. People turned against people especially the people who ardently believe in the mask wearing psychosis, neighbours turning against their fellow free neighbours, depression, suicide, lack of trust in any authority, mentally scarred children, more government rules violating our Constitution, all this awaits Vics in Christmas this year. Even with dictatordan commie out of the picture even tomorrow, so much damage has been done that recovery will not happen in my lifetime.

John 16/09/2020, 7:46 am
Absolutely agree JS but Australia is not the country it was. Aust as it was died the day Whitlam was elected and its been rotting ever since. Apart from a few hardy souls, generally older ones I gather sending missives to blog sites and a scattering of younger ragers protesting about the dying of the light we have become a nation happy to be ordered to cower in our loungerooms, happy to tolerate little old Ladies on a park bench to be assaulted by police, happy for police to stomp on a mans head or be happy a 5 ft pregnant woman is handcuffed by the heroic police.
Yes, there is a desperate need for a clean out as you say but an even more desperate one for the larger populace to get some gonads.
Australia is not the country it was.

Lorraine 16/09/2020, 8:27 am
I was disgusted last night on Tv when it was said that the boots on the shed was in poor taste. After Daniel Andrews had complained about taking his dead Father from that shed, apparently there was a connection….I Thought to my self my goodness he has a hide as so many people have missed funerals of friends or family and all daily life has been denied because he messed up….but no we are not to pick on his family and especially his dead family. The Boot Dan has now been smeared by one thoughtless act….LABOR PLAY THE VICTIM SO QUICK AND MEDIA FOLD TO THIS CRAP. Big Premier with big stick on us all and so many sad parts of life in the last 6 months,,,,,,,,but its poor Dan

Aktosplatz 16/09/2020, 8:37 am
Since 2007, at least, Labor PMs & Premiers have each all run up a huge debt, and then individually all cut and run each time the mounting debt spirals out of control.

Andrews will be no different, but never fear, another like minded useless politician will be voted in to replace him.

https://morningmail.org/will-andrews-quit-before-christmas/#more-121097

The Greenies have long plotted to reduce Australia to a primitive 18th century multicultural cesspool - seems they have succeeded in Victoria.

Dan is as popular as a Bondi cigar in a swimming pool.

Labor is out of power for 20 years after 2022.

Dangerous Dan is a slippery character. Remains to be seen if he can hoodwink the Victorian electors.

A closeup of the slick and cunning Andrews

AMM 13.09.20.  

A name you don’t hear much about these days is Brain Loughnane. Brian is a business and political strategic adviser and was the Coalition’s campaign director at four federal elections. 

He is also the spouse of Peta Credlin and that brings a veritable encyclopaedia of political knowledge to the Credlin/Loughnane family household. Brian knows full well the cunning and stealth of the Andrews political animal and it’s more dangerous than most realise— a decade of reelections to wit.

The Victorian Premier is a brilliant backroom operator, but the crisis has laid bare his failings. 

The power of his message should not be underestimated. It is sophisticated and manipulative. 

The global pandemic of 2020 is ­up-ending economies and disrupting politics across the world. 

The full consequences will play out over many years, possibly decades, but already major political parties are being redefined. We are fortunate Australia’s ­response has been among the best in the world.


Low-key Andrews is suddenly exposed
Source: Brian Loughnane for News Corp

Our number of cases has been relatively low, our hospital system has responded well and has not been overwhelmed (notwithstanding Victoria’s second wave), and our preparations to quickly manufacture a vaccine, when one becomes available, is ahead of most countries.

But significant challenges lie ahead. The economic impact has been dramatic and wide-ranging. Private sector business, particularly small business, has carried a disproportionate part of the burden, and many will not recover.

The pandemic has placed an ­intense spotlight on the governing style of political leaders across the world. The Morrison government’s response has been pragmatic and non-ideological. It reviewed the challenge and took the decisions it considered necessary — even if they are not those typically expected of a centre-right government. As a consequence, the full impact on the community has been eased by the quick introduction of JobKeeper and JobSeeker, along with many other stimulus measures.

The spotlight has also fallen on one of the most effective but deliberately low-key political operations ever seen in Australia.

Daniel Andrews is unarguably the leading centre-left political ­figure in Australia — and one of the most underestimated. His political style is emblematic of the best practice of left activist governments around the world. In fact, since the fall of the Wynne government in Ontario in 2018, Labor in Victoria is the most left-wing ­government in any significant democratic country. It is much more so than in any US state, or Nicola Sturgeon’s Scotland — or any of the Green coalition governments in Germany.

Andrews is not one of those political figures who will regret wasting his mandate. He has successfully implemented the most wide-ranging and radical social agenda seen in Australia. He has been able to so, in part, because his style is deliberately low-key and non-confrontational to avoid ­attracting attention to just how ­extensive his actions are. His longevity and success owes a lot to this style, which was tailored to the reduced reporting of state politics over the past decade.

The pandemic, however, has brought to prominence problems in government administration and decision-making in Victoria and has placed state Labor under much greater national scrutiny. As a consequence, the political management model that worked so ­effectively up until recently is ­arguably now contributing to the problems of the state, rather than helping resolve them.
Daniel Andrews talks to The Project host Lisa Andrews on the Network Ten program last Sunday, September 6.

Labor has governed in Victoria for almost 30 of the past 40 years. They have controlled senior appointments across the public sector for most of that time. This trend has increased rapidly since the election of the Andrews government in 2014, with comprehensive control of key parts of the bureaucracy being a key objective. Andrews, and his office, are widely rumoured to be active in shepherding key appointments. Public servants are expected to be “on the page”, and the Premier has been ruthless in removing those considered ineffective or unreliable.

But, as is typical when tribal or ideological loyalty is placed ahead of competence, overreach occurs and problems emerge. This is clearly now the case across a range of important portfolios in Victoria, where a growing number of problems are raising serious questions regarding the administration of the police, parts of the judiciary as well as health.

The political management model that served Andrews so well is now under strain as a result. Andrews himself has been health minister or premier for 10 of the past 13 years. No other individual has had greater influence on health policy and the development of the management structures for health in Victoria over that period. So if there is inadequate capacity for contact tracing, for example, he cannot claim ignorance.

But until recently his daily press conferences have been a master class in diverting attention from unwanted scrutiny. He has projected a style which, as Graham Richardson has said, exhibits “modesty with confidence”. His self-discipline means he rigorously sticks to his message and avoids anger or over-the-top rhetoric. This allows him to talk difficult issues down.

He normally rations his public appearances, avoids long one-on-one interviews and refuses to appear on some networks (Sky) or to be interviewed by commentators (such as Neil Mitchell at 3AW) who may push him. He narrows his field of public engagement and the issues he discusses, and he simply will not engage on some difficult topics.

As we see in his daily press conferences, he goes immediately to technical detail, often in great depth, to desensitise an issue and to give the impression he is “across the detail” and to provide endless diversionary issues on which to be questioned. It is common to have “experts” attend a press event to keep the focus on the detail and not on governance issues or unrelated difficult political issues.

He plays to his own constituencies and completely ignores those parts of the community he does not consider part of that group. He uses the power of his office to legitimatise his support base, including unions and activist NGOs, by consulting them and including them in decision-making while delegitimising others, such as small business, who are seen as either opponents or irrelevant to his political objectives.

In return, he demands total loyalty. Should a matter risk overwhelming his core message, an “inquiry” is often established “independently” to provide a shield to avoid further questions on the matter “while the Inquiry is underway”. And, in a direct take from the Kevin Rudd playbook, he often finds “I’ve not been briefed on that”. He regularly refuses to release information (e.g. genomic data) if it may prove embarrassing.

But the power of his message should not be underestimated. It is sophisticated and manipulative. It is not off-the-cuff or spontaneous but developed from research and extensive analysis of data from social media and other sources. Terms frequently heard at the daily press briefings such as “the advice of experts”, “we’ve all got to work together”, and “slow and steady recovery” come directly from this work.

Social media, much of it very targeted and beneath the wider public radar, has become the preferred channel of communication, allowing the Premier to ignore established television, radio and newspapers if he wishes. Significant public resources underpin this operation, which has one of the most extensive social media reaches in the state.

Andrews ignores parliament and limits the opportunities for the opposition to hold him, or his ministers, to account. He does not engage with the opposition or acknowledge any criticism from them. He dominates his party, caucus and ministry, expecting them to toe-the-line while otherwise ignoring them.

Long-term Labor supporters in Victoria must now be wondering if the model that has delivered great success for the party is now past its peak and, in fact, in danger of jeopardising the whole left project in Victoria.
The modern Labor era in Victoria began in the early 1970s when John Cain, Michael Duffy, John Button, Barry Jones and others came together to find a common basis to take the party forward. Many of those involved had been active in the conscription and capital punishment campaigns of the late 1960s. 
Central to their political outlook were notions the Andrews government must now find quaint: parliamentary scrutiny and accountability, transparency, disclosure through FOI, an independent legal system, an arm’s-length public service, broad consultation beyond Labor’s comfort zone of unions and interest groups — and, above all, governing for all Victorians.

The next state election in Victoria is on November 26, 2022. Labor has a strong majority which may be further strengthened by a coming redistribution. The Liberal and National parties will therefore face a huge challenge to win. But the disruption and scrutiny driven by the pandemic is changing politics and opening opportunities. The task for the Coalition, while difficult, is not impossible.

To win, the Coalition must be united, focused and ready. Over the next decade, Victoria will need innovative policies to revive the private sector and modernise the management of the public sector. The Liberals and Nationals have a competent and experienced team in the state parliament lead by Michael O’Brien.

Their first and most difficult challenge to winning has been to get Victorians to look at Labor with more sceptical eyes. Finally, as a consequence of hubris and overreach, and the heightened scrutiny driven by the pandemic, the Victorian community may be doing so.

Leftist media saturates the news. Fight back. Send articles to your friends, politicians, local media, and facebook.

https://morningmail.org/a-closeup-of-the-slick-and-cunning-andrews/#more-120970

{ 8 comments… add one }

• Honeybadger13/09/2020, 8:06 am
  He’s a one man band that’s why he’s called the dictator. Surrounded himself by ‘yes’ dopes (mainly women). Disbanded Parliament so no accountability. Feigns ignorance over who put in the curfew, who was in charge of quarantine and the other stuffups, turns up each day for his $9000 per week, to not answer a couple of probing questions, the rest of the questions are dorothy dixers by kiddies, everything is a “challenge” and then slinks off until his next performance. Just ask yourself which State has had the most deaths and who was in charge?
  It really is scary to think a redistribution before the next election, enhances this evil mans chances of re-election.
  REPLY LINK
  
• Lorraine13/09/2020, 8:31 am
  The other side that are not entranced with Jug Ears will hate and hate him more as the time goes on. The boots are out for Daniel Andrews.
  REPLY LINK
  
• Walahwalah Bishbin13/09/2020, 8:52 am
  Brian, your article is based on the decaying truism that the Victorian State social contract between the governed and the executive will remain. There are many identifiable markers that, when reached, foreshadow the destruction of any social order. May I commend Hans Fallada’s excellent book on the Weimar Republic’s experience of same: “little man, what now?”
  Your article relates to another world at another time and has only fading resemblance to our current reality.
  How I wish you were right my friend.
  REPLY LINK
  
• Aktosplatz13/09/2020, 10:14 am
  Trouble is, nobody knows what the alternative is to Labor. (No point in asking the LNP either).
  REPLY LINK
  
• Ozman13/09/2020, 10:30 am
  “The Liberals and Nationals have a competent and experienced team in the state parliament lead by Michael O’Brien.”
  Andrews is devious! He comes across as a drongo, but his manner is like that of teflon coated don, and he is able to let what he doesn’t want to acknowledge slide, because the press is on side, the judiciary are on side, the police are on side, the unions are on side, and his ineffective opposition is, tacitly, on side.
  Kennett was arrogant. He divorced his wife, so he could keep his shares in Bruce Mathieson’s gaming empire and be at arm’s length from favors delivered by government.
  All politicians are corrupt. Just that some are more corrupt than others.
  Regardless of anything else, unless a fire his held between their legs, they will keep stuffing as much money as they can down between them, only it will not be in gold coins, these days it will be on a USB flash drive, just in case of unintended consequences.
  https://morningmail.org/unintended-consequences-/#more-120972
  REPLY LINK
  
• nev13/09/2020, 11:24 am
  Fact: Labor in Victoria is the most left-wing ¬government in any significant democratic country.
  Fact: Indisputable
  Factual: He has successfully implemented the most wide-ranging and radical social agenda seen in Australia.
  Fact: He has been able to do these things without scrutiny or comment from the opposition, the public or business, thanks to its ownership of all media outlets.
  Factual: Labor has governed in Victoria for almost 30 of the past 40 years. They have controlled senior appointments across the public sector for most of that time. This trend has increased rapidly since the election of the Andrews government in 2014.
  Fact: Due to the fact that Labor has “owned” its own broadcast and print media it has avoided all scrutiny enabling it to govern for 30 of the last 40 years.
  Factual: The pandemic, however, has brought to prominence problems in government administration and decision-making in Victoria and has placed state Labor under much greater national scrutiny.
  Fact: The pandemic has swept aside the State media shroud and opened the Andrews government to real world scrutiny.
  Unfortunately despite the undoubted bona fides of Brian Loughnane. Sometimes people are simply too close to the action and don’t have the opportunity of over view and broader scrutiny.
  It is my contention that the media as always demands its “rightful” place as a pillar of society, then either takes a partisan view or becomes part of the argument.
  The ABC no longer even pretends to not do so.
  REPLY LINK
  
• DT13/09/2020, 3:16 pm
  He is as secure as voters allow by voting for Union Labor, the Greens and pretending to be Independents, all of whom provide his parliamentary support.
  But as we know, political theatre baffles brains better than plain unadultered BS, without the theatre there would be no Home & Away style soap operas and people who actually think they are real life.
  REPLY LINK
  
• Margaret13/09/2020, 4:16 pm
  I can’t believe the tactics deployed by the police in Victoria. It is frightening.
  This is a very good editorial in the Cairns News
  https://cairnsnews.org/2020/08/08/australias-corporate-political-elite-are-overseeing-the-destruction-of-victoria/
  

LIVE: Coronavirus Australia: Poll shows massive swing against Daniel Andrews

Just how angry are Victorians with Premier Daniel Andrews?
A new poll from MediaReach, conducted for the state Liberal leadership and obtained by The Herald Sun, has examined the effect of the protracted lockdown on the state government in five marginal Labor seats – Bayswater, Hawthorn, Monbulk, Mount Waverley and South Barwon. It surveyed 3000 voters.
At the 2018 election, the seats in question had a combined two-party preferred margin of 53-47 in Labor’s favour. In this poll, it’s 61-39 in the Liberals’ favour. That’s a swing of 14 per cent.
According to The Herald Sun, if that swing were replicated statewide at the 2022 election, the government would lose 30 seats, including Mr Andrews’ own electorate.
MediaReach also asked voters who their preferred premier was. Mr Andrews still leads by a smidgen on that measure, 39-38.
The Premier has argued politics are of no concern to him at the moment, and he is purely focused on doing his job.
“Let me be as frank as I can be. Politics has never mattered less to me. Leadership is not able doing what’s popular, it is about doing what’s right,” he told 7.30 this week.
“This is about a fight with only one thing. That’s this wildly infectious virus. The politics of this, that is of no value.
“The only thing that matters is we all stay the course. We all keep following the data, the science and the doctors and get this done. Then move to the biggest economic repair job that our state has ever seen.”
Read on for all the latest coronavirus news.

https://www.news.com.au/world/coronavirus/australia/coronavirus-australia-andrews-government-in-fear-of-the-virus-expert-says/live-coverage/f74baa7f2df174572c7eeeb9de8f8e67